Here's the latest from MAAR:
New listings continue to lag behind last year's pace in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending June 21, new listings dropped by 10.6 percent compared to the same week in 2007. This is the sixteenth consecutive week of year-over-year decline, a period during which there have been a total 5,881 fewer new listings than one year ago. The total inventory of homes currently for sale is 2.6 percent lower than last year.
On the flip side, buyer demand remains relatively flat after over two years of heavy downward momentum. Pending sales for the week ending June 21 were 1.8 percent behind the same week last year, a decline of 16 sales. This is the 9th week in the last eleven where pending sales posted figures that were within 5 percent of one year ago, either above or below.
Monday, June 30, 2008
Monday, June 23, 2008
A Relatively Smooth Course
Here's the Latest from MAAR:
Home sales are continuing along a relatively smooth course so far this summer, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) increasing by 3.8 percent over last year for the week ending June 14. Over the last six weeks, pending sales are behind the same time period in 2007 by only 30 sales, or 0.6 percent. When you compare that to the consistent 15–20 percent declines of the last few years, this is welcome news.
Simply matching last year's numbers does not allow home sellers to celebrate recovering buyer interest in their properties. Plus, we need to keep some perspective on what types of sales are comprising this new stabilization of activity. A hearty 27.9 percent of purchase agreements from the last six weeks were made on lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. Buyer activity is being propped up by the increased market share of these types of properties.
Traditional sales over the same six-week period are down 21.0 percent from last year, while lender-mediated sales are up 284.5 percent from 406 sales last year to 1,561 this year. So the traditional seller still faces some challenges—and some new and very different competition.
All told, heavy buyer interest in lender-mediated properties is viewed as a positive sign. We need the prevalent lender-mediated inventory to be absorbed before our market can return to some semblance of order. The sooner these properties are worked through the market cycle, the sooner that the mist of uncertainty they bring to negotiation, appraisal and home value will lift.
Home sales are continuing along a relatively smooth course so far this summer, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) increasing by 3.8 percent over last year for the week ending June 14. Over the last six weeks, pending sales are behind the same time period in 2007 by only 30 sales, or 0.6 percent. When you compare that to the consistent 15–20 percent declines of the last few years, this is welcome news.
Simply matching last year's numbers does not allow home sellers to celebrate recovering buyer interest in their properties. Plus, we need to keep some perspective on what types of sales are comprising this new stabilization of activity. A hearty 27.9 percent of purchase agreements from the last six weeks were made on lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. Buyer activity is being propped up by the increased market share of these types of properties.
Traditional sales over the same six-week period are down 21.0 percent from last year, while lender-mediated sales are up 284.5 percent from 406 sales last year to 1,561 this year. So the traditional seller still faces some challenges—and some new and very different competition.
All told, heavy buyer interest in lender-mediated properties is viewed as a positive sign. We need the prevalent lender-mediated inventory to be absorbed before our market can return to some semblance of order. The sooner these properties are worked through the market cycle, the sooner that the mist of uncertainty they bring to negotiation, appraisal and home value will lift.
Monday, June 16, 2008
"Whoa, we're halfway there; whoa-oh, livin' on a prayer!"
Here's the latest from MAAR (And Bon Jovi):
Bringing our market back to balance involves a two-step process: supply needs to draw down, demand needs to bounce back up. It's as simple as that. So far, 2008 is proving to be the year that we can confidently check the first item off this list, as the number of homes for sale continues to dwindle relative to one year ago. There are currently 33,219 homes for sale in the Twin Cities region, down a hearty 4.9 percent from one year ago, a year-over-year figure which should continue to drop in the months ahead. New listings for the week ending June 7 were down 13.9 percent from a year ago, while pending sales declined by a smaller 5.3 percent for the same time period comparison.
All in all, we're halfway there: supply is coming down, but demand is only flattening, not coming back up just yet. Regardless, the signs are encouraging.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for our Housing Affordability Index (HAI) and Months Supply of Inventory. The HAI dropped slightly to 149 due to another increase in interest rates, while inventory increased to 10.4 months of supply. This means that it will take 10.4 months to sell through our current inventory, should buyer activity remain constant and no homes new to the market are listed for sale.
Monday, June 09, 2008
Pending Sales Are Up 4.9 Percent!
Here's the latest from MAAR
Sellers in the Twin Cities housing market continue to cut back on their output, while simultaneously we appear to have finally found the bottom for buyer activity. New listings for the week ending May 31 were a healthy 23.0 percent behind the same week in 2007, a drop of 522 units. For the same time period, pending sales increased by 4.9 percent over last year—the largest year-over-year increase in 117 weeks, and only the third recorded increase in that time. So even though home sales are still low by historical standards, they’re not falling any further for the time being.
This week’s edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features update figures for two metrics. Days on Market Until Sale increased slight to 159, up 27.9 percent from a year ago, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 92.6 percent. Expect the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale to show further increases during the summer months, when sellers are more likely to receive offers that are closer to their asking prices than in winter.
Sellers in the Twin Cities housing market continue to cut back on their output, while simultaneously we appear to have finally found the bottom for buyer activity. New listings for the week ending May 31 were a healthy 23.0 percent behind the same week in 2007, a drop of 522 units. For the same time period, pending sales increased by 4.9 percent over last year—the largest year-over-year increase in 117 weeks, and only the third recorded increase in that time. So even though home sales are still low by historical standards, they’re not falling any further for the time being.
This week’s edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features update figures for two metrics. Days on Market Until Sale increased slight to 159, up 27.9 percent from a year ago, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 92.6 percent. Expect the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale to show further increases during the summer months, when sellers are more likely to receive offers that are closer to their asking prices than in winter.
Monday, June 02, 2008
Have we hit bottom, yet?
Here's the latest from MAAR:
Our housing market is forming up; we can now see both the floor and ceiling. For the second consecutive week, pending sales activity in the Twin Cities market is flat compared to last year, dropping just 1.4 percent from a year ago for the week ending May 24. For the same time period comparison, new listings declined 6.4 percent and total listing supply actually declined, an anomaly for the spring market.
With sales halting their downward decline, new listings still sluggish and overall inventory leveled, the trends are coalescing around a clear picture: we have found the floor for buyer demand while hitting the ceiling of seller supply. Being at or near the bottom of the downward shift is certainly positive news, but keep in mind that the long upward climb out of our nadir will be gradual and measured.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) figure for June 2008 of 8.23. This means that there are roughly 8.23 homes on the market for each buyer during the month of June, up 9.3 percent from June 2007.
Our housing market is forming up; we can now see both the floor and ceiling. For the second consecutive week, pending sales activity in the Twin Cities market is flat compared to last year, dropping just 1.4 percent from a year ago for the week ending May 24. For the same time period comparison, new listings declined 6.4 percent and total listing supply actually declined, an anomaly for the spring market.
With sales halting their downward decline, new listings still sluggish and overall inventory leveled, the trends are coalescing around a clear picture: we have found the floor for buyer demand while hitting the ceiling of seller supply. Being at or near the bottom of the downward shift is certainly positive news, but keep in mind that the long upward climb out of our nadir will be gradual and measured.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) figure for June 2008 of 8.23. This means that there are roughly 8.23 homes on the market for each buyer during the month of June, up 9.3 percent from June 2007.
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