FINALLY SOME GOOD NEWS!!!!!
H.R. 3221, the “Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008,” passed the House on July 23, 2008, by a vote of 272-152. On Saturday, July 26, 2008, the Senate passed the bill by a vote of 72-13. The President signed the bill on July 30, 2008. The bill includes the following provisions:
GSE Reform – including a strong independent regulator, and permanent conforming loan limits up to the greater of $417,000 or 115% local area median home price, capped at $625,500. The effective date for reforms is immediate upon enactment, but the loan limits will not go into effect until the expiration of the Economic Stimulus limits (December 31, 2008).
FHA Reform – including permanent FHA loan limits at the greater of $271,050 or 115% of local area median home price, capped at $625,500; streamlined processing for FHA condos; reforms to the HECM program, and reforms to the FHA manufactured housing program. The downpayment requirement on FHA loans will go up to 3.5% (from 3%). The effective date for reforms is immediate upon enactment, but the loan limits will not go into effect until the expiration of the Economic Stimulus limits (December 31, 2008).
Homebuyer Tax Credit - a $7500 tax credit that would be would be available for any qualified purchase between April 8, 2008 and June 30, 2009. The credit is repayable over 15 years (making it, in effect, an interest free loan).
FHA foreclosure rescue – development of a refinance program for homebuyers with problematic subprime loans. Lenders would write down qualified mortgages to 85% of the current appraised value and qualified borrowers would get a new FHA 30-year fixed mortgage at 90% of appraised value. Borrowers would have to share 50% of all future appreciation with FHA. The loan limit for this program is $550,440 nationwide. Program is effective on October 1, 2008.
Seller-funded downpayment assistance programs – codifies existing FHA proposal to prohibit the use of downpayment assistance programs funded by those who have a financial interest in the sale; does not prohibit other assistance programs provided by nonprofits funded by other sources, churches, employers, or family members. This prohibition does not go into effect until October 1, 2008.
VA loan limits – temporarily increases the VA home loan guarantee loan limits to the same level as the Economic Stimulus limits through December 31, 2008.
Risk-based pricing – puts a moratorium on FHA using risk-based pricing for one year. This provision is effective from October 1, 2008 through September 30, 2009.
GSE Stabilization – includes language proposed by the Treasury Department to authorize Treasury to make loans to and buy stock from the GSEs to make sure that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae could not fail.
Mortgage Revenue Bond Authority – authorizes $10 billion in mortgage revenue bonds for refinancing subprime mortgages.
National Affordable Housing Trust Fund – Develops a Trust Fund funded by a percentage of profits from the GSEs. In its first years, the Trust Fund would cover costs of any defaulted loans in FHA foreclosure program. In out years, the Trust Fund would be used for the development of affordable housing.
CDBG Funding – Provides $4 billion in neighborhood revitalization funds for communities to purchase foreclosed homes.
LIHTC – Modernizes the Low Income Housing Tax Credit program to make it more efficient.
Loan Originator Requirements – Strengthens the existing state-run nationwide mortgage originator licensing and registration system (and requires a parallel HUD system for states that fail to participate). Federal bank regulators will establish a parallel registration system for FDIC-insured banks. The purpose is to prevent fraud and require minimum licensing and education requirements. The bill exempts those who only perform real estate brokerage activities and are licensed or registered by a state, unless they are compensated by a lender, mortgage broker, or other loan originator.
For more information, visit http://www.realtor.org/governmentaffairs.
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Monday, July 28, 2008
Supply is Down like Grandma's Comforter
Here's the latest from MAAR:
In the Twin Cities housing market, sales are flat like a New York pizza and supply is down like grandma's comforter. Fortunately for us, the data confirms our kitschy similes. Pending sales for the week ending July 19 are ahead of the same week last year by 3.8 percent, while new listings fell by 13.0 percent for the same time period—all positive signs of a market in transition.
The total number of active listings for sale currently sits at 33,410, (comfortably) down 1,722 units—or 4.9 percent—from this time last year. Since the number of new homes coming on the market remains in decline and sales appear to have hit bottom, we can expect total inventory to remain lower than last year for some time to come.
In the Twin Cities housing market, sales are flat like a New York pizza and supply is down like grandma's comforter. Fortunately for us, the data confirms our kitschy similes. Pending sales for the week ending July 19 are ahead of the same week last year by 3.8 percent, while new listings fell by 13.0 percent for the same time period—all positive signs of a market in transition.
The total number of active listings for sale currently sits at 33,410, (comfortably) down 1,722 units—or 4.9 percent—from this time last year. Since the number of new homes coming on the market remains in decline and sales appear to have hit bottom, we can expect total inventory to remain lower than last year for some time to come.
Monday, July 21, 2008
Less is More in Local Housing Market
Here's the latest from MAAR:
Housing supply in the Twin Cities continues its descent. For the week ending July 12, there were 11.5 percent fewer new listings on the market than there were one year ago. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 4,000 fewer homes on the market than there were during the same period in 2007. The total number of properties for sale currently sits at 33,390—down 4.7 percent from this time last year.
The sales picture is slightly different, as activity has flattened after two years of downward movement. We are showing a slight 1.8 percent increase in pending sales from the same week last year. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 300 fewer pending sales—a decline of 2.7 percent.
Housing supply in the Twin Cities continues its descent. For the week ending July 12, there were 11.5 percent fewer new listings on the market than there were one year ago. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 4,000 fewer homes on the market than there were during the same period in 2007. The total number of properties for sale currently sits at 33,390—down 4.7 percent from this time last year.
The sales picture is slightly different, as activity has flattened after two years of downward movement. We are showing a slight 1.8 percent increase in pending sales from the same week last year. Over the last three months, there have been roughly 300 fewer pending sales—a decline of 2.7 percent.
Monday, July 14, 2008
Fireworks?!?!?
Here's the latest from MAAR
Prospective homeowners appear to have celebrated our Independence holiday by buying a home. For the week ending July 5, there were 735 signed purchase agreements (pending sales), up 7.3 percent from the same week one year ago. New listings increased by 2.5 percent for the same time period comparison but took the expected dive from one week prior due to the 4th of July holiday.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several important metrics:
Days on Market Until Sale fell from last month to 147 but is still 13.1 percent higher than a year ago, and the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased to 92.8 percent. Both changes are additional signs that home sellers are beginning to experience some light relief.
However, not all indicators are rosy, as the Months Supply of Inventory increased slightly to 10.6 months, up 11.0 percent from last July, and the Housing Affordability Index dipped slightly to 148 due to another increase in interest rates.
For a full and detailed look at the supply and demand environment in the Twin Cities housing market, take a look at the July 2008 Housing Supply Outlook.
Prospective homeowners appear to have celebrated our Independence holiday by buying a home. For the week ending July 5, there were 735 signed purchase agreements (pending sales), up 7.3 percent from the same week one year ago. New listings increased by 2.5 percent for the same time period comparison but took the expected dive from one week prior due to the 4th of July holiday.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several important metrics:
Days on Market Until Sale fell from last month to 147 but is still 13.1 percent higher than a year ago, and the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased to 92.8 percent. Both changes are additional signs that home sellers are beginning to experience some light relief.
However, not all indicators are rosy, as the Months Supply of Inventory increased slightly to 10.6 months, up 11.0 percent from last July, and the Housing Affordability Index dipped slightly to 148 due to another increase in interest rates.
For a full and detailed look at the supply and demand environment in the Twin Cities housing market, take a look at the July 2008 Housing Supply Outlook.
Monday, July 07, 2008
On the Right Track
Here's the latest from MAAR:
For the week ending June 28, pending sales in the Twin Cities housing market dipped slightly from the year previous, posting 43 fewer sales than the same week in 2007. New listings for the same time period comparison were only 6 listings higher, a meager 0.3 percent increase.
Our overall buyer trajectory this year is flat compared to a year ago. For 10 of the last 12 weeks, pending sales have been within 5 percent of 2007, either above or below. New listings, on the other hand, are showing dramatic downward movement. Over the last three months, we've posted 13.6 percent fewer listings than the same time last year.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR). The SDR for July fell slightly to 8.11, which means there are approximately 8.11 houses for each buyer in July. At 1.6 percent lower than July 2007, this is the first year-over-year decrease in SDR since MAAR began tracking the figure in 2004. Since SDR takes both supply and demand into consideration, this is the surest sign yet that the market is no longer charging headlong into the buyer's favor.
For the week ending June 28, pending sales in the Twin Cities housing market dipped slightly from the year previous, posting 43 fewer sales than the same week in 2007. New listings for the same time period comparison were only 6 listings higher, a meager 0.3 percent increase.
Our overall buyer trajectory this year is flat compared to a year ago. For 10 of the last 12 weeks, pending sales have been within 5 percent of 2007, either above or below. New listings, on the other hand, are showing dramatic downward movement. Over the last three months, we've posted 13.6 percent fewer listings than the same time last year.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR). The SDR for July fell slightly to 8.11, which means there are approximately 8.11 houses for each buyer in July. At 1.6 percent lower than July 2007, this is the first year-over-year decrease in SDR since MAAR began tracking the figure in 2004. Since SDR takes both supply and demand into consideration, this is the surest sign yet that the market is no longer charging headlong into the buyer's favor.
Monday, June 30, 2008
Market Continues to Level Out
Here's the latest from MAAR:
New listings continue to lag behind last year's pace in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending June 21, new listings dropped by 10.6 percent compared to the same week in 2007. This is the sixteenth consecutive week of year-over-year decline, a period during which there have been a total 5,881 fewer new listings than one year ago. The total inventory of homes currently for sale is 2.6 percent lower than last year.
On the flip side, buyer demand remains relatively flat after over two years of heavy downward momentum. Pending sales for the week ending June 21 were 1.8 percent behind the same week last year, a decline of 16 sales. This is the 9th week in the last eleven where pending sales posted figures that were within 5 percent of one year ago, either above or below.
New listings continue to lag behind last year's pace in the Twin Cities housing market. For the week ending June 21, new listings dropped by 10.6 percent compared to the same week in 2007. This is the sixteenth consecutive week of year-over-year decline, a period during which there have been a total 5,881 fewer new listings than one year ago. The total inventory of homes currently for sale is 2.6 percent lower than last year.
On the flip side, buyer demand remains relatively flat after over two years of heavy downward momentum. Pending sales for the week ending June 21 were 1.8 percent behind the same week last year, a decline of 16 sales. This is the 9th week in the last eleven where pending sales posted figures that were within 5 percent of one year ago, either above or below.
Monday, June 23, 2008
A Relatively Smooth Course
Here's the Latest from MAAR:
Home sales are continuing along a relatively smooth course so far this summer, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) increasing by 3.8 percent over last year for the week ending June 14. Over the last six weeks, pending sales are behind the same time period in 2007 by only 30 sales, or 0.6 percent. When you compare that to the consistent 15–20 percent declines of the last few years, this is welcome news.
Simply matching last year's numbers does not allow home sellers to celebrate recovering buyer interest in their properties. Plus, we need to keep some perspective on what types of sales are comprising this new stabilization of activity. A hearty 27.9 percent of purchase agreements from the last six weeks were made on lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. Buyer activity is being propped up by the increased market share of these types of properties.
Traditional sales over the same six-week period are down 21.0 percent from last year, while lender-mediated sales are up 284.5 percent from 406 sales last year to 1,561 this year. So the traditional seller still faces some challenges—and some new and very different competition.
All told, heavy buyer interest in lender-mediated properties is viewed as a positive sign. We need the prevalent lender-mediated inventory to be absorbed before our market can return to some semblance of order. The sooner these properties are worked through the market cycle, the sooner that the mist of uncertainty they bring to negotiation, appraisal and home value will lift.
Home sales are continuing along a relatively smooth course so far this summer, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) increasing by 3.8 percent over last year for the week ending June 14. Over the last six weeks, pending sales are behind the same time period in 2007 by only 30 sales, or 0.6 percent. When you compare that to the consistent 15–20 percent declines of the last few years, this is welcome news.
Simply matching last year's numbers does not allow home sellers to celebrate recovering buyer interest in their properties. Plus, we need to keep some perspective on what types of sales are comprising this new stabilization of activity. A hearty 27.9 percent of purchase agreements from the last six weeks were made on lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. Buyer activity is being propped up by the increased market share of these types of properties.
Traditional sales over the same six-week period are down 21.0 percent from last year, while lender-mediated sales are up 284.5 percent from 406 sales last year to 1,561 this year. So the traditional seller still faces some challenges—and some new and very different competition.
All told, heavy buyer interest in lender-mediated properties is viewed as a positive sign. We need the prevalent lender-mediated inventory to be absorbed before our market can return to some semblance of order. The sooner these properties are worked through the market cycle, the sooner that the mist of uncertainty they bring to negotiation, appraisal and home value will lift.
Monday, June 16, 2008
"Whoa, we're halfway there; whoa-oh, livin' on a prayer!"
Here's the latest from MAAR (And Bon Jovi):
Bringing our market back to balance involves a two-step process: supply needs to draw down, demand needs to bounce back up. It's as simple as that. So far, 2008 is proving to be the year that we can confidently check the first item off this list, as the number of homes for sale continues to dwindle relative to one year ago. There are currently 33,219 homes for sale in the Twin Cities region, down a hearty 4.9 percent from one year ago, a year-over-year figure which should continue to drop in the months ahead. New listings for the week ending June 7 were down 13.9 percent from a year ago, while pending sales declined by a smaller 5.3 percent for the same time period comparison.
All in all, we're halfway there: supply is coming down, but demand is only flattening, not coming back up just yet. Regardless, the signs are encouraging.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for our Housing Affordability Index (HAI) and Months Supply of Inventory. The HAI dropped slightly to 149 due to another increase in interest rates, while inventory increased to 10.4 months of supply. This means that it will take 10.4 months to sell through our current inventory, should buyer activity remain constant and no homes new to the market are listed for sale.
Monday, June 09, 2008
Pending Sales Are Up 4.9 Percent!
Here's the latest from MAAR
Sellers in the Twin Cities housing market continue to cut back on their output, while simultaneously we appear to have finally found the bottom for buyer activity. New listings for the week ending May 31 were a healthy 23.0 percent behind the same week in 2007, a drop of 522 units. For the same time period, pending sales increased by 4.9 percent over last year—the largest year-over-year increase in 117 weeks, and only the third recorded increase in that time. So even though home sales are still low by historical standards, they’re not falling any further for the time being.
This week’s edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features update figures for two metrics. Days on Market Until Sale increased slight to 159, up 27.9 percent from a year ago, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 92.6 percent. Expect the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale to show further increases during the summer months, when sellers are more likely to receive offers that are closer to their asking prices than in winter.
Sellers in the Twin Cities housing market continue to cut back on their output, while simultaneously we appear to have finally found the bottom for buyer activity. New listings for the week ending May 31 were a healthy 23.0 percent behind the same week in 2007, a drop of 522 units. For the same time period, pending sales increased by 4.9 percent over last year—the largest year-over-year increase in 117 weeks, and only the third recorded increase in that time. So even though home sales are still low by historical standards, they’re not falling any further for the time being.
This week’s edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features update figures for two metrics. Days on Market Until Sale increased slight to 159, up 27.9 percent from a year ago, and Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 92.6 percent. Expect the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale to show further increases during the summer months, when sellers are more likely to receive offers that are closer to their asking prices than in winter.
Monday, June 02, 2008
Have we hit bottom, yet?
Here's the latest from MAAR:
Our housing market is forming up; we can now see both the floor and ceiling. For the second consecutive week, pending sales activity in the Twin Cities market is flat compared to last year, dropping just 1.4 percent from a year ago for the week ending May 24. For the same time period comparison, new listings declined 6.4 percent and total listing supply actually declined, an anomaly for the spring market.
With sales halting their downward decline, new listings still sluggish and overall inventory leveled, the trends are coalescing around a clear picture: we have found the floor for buyer demand while hitting the ceiling of seller supply. Being at or near the bottom of the downward shift is certainly positive news, but keep in mind that the long upward climb out of our nadir will be gradual and measured.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) figure for June 2008 of 8.23. This means that there are roughly 8.23 homes on the market for each buyer during the month of June, up 9.3 percent from June 2007.
Our housing market is forming up; we can now see both the floor and ceiling. For the second consecutive week, pending sales activity in the Twin Cities market is flat compared to last year, dropping just 1.4 percent from a year ago for the week ending May 24. For the same time period comparison, new listings declined 6.4 percent and total listing supply actually declined, an anomaly for the spring market.
With sales halting their downward decline, new listings still sluggish and overall inventory leveled, the trends are coalescing around a clear picture: we have found the floor for buyer demand while hitting the ceiling of seller supply. Being at or near the bottom of the downward shift is certainly positive news, but keep in mind that the long upward climb out of our nadir will be gradual and measured.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Supply-Demand Ratio (SDR) figure for June 2008 of 8.23. This means that there are roughly 8.23 homes on the market for each buyer during the month of June, up 9.3 percent from June 2007.
Tuesday, May 27, 2008
First Time in 10 Months!
Here's the latest from MAAR:
For the first time in ten months—and only the second time in the last two years—the number of purchase agreements (pending sales) signed for our most recent weekly activity set was slightly ahead of one year ago. There were 714 purchase agreements signed for the week ending May 17, which is 1.7 percent higher than one year ago. A hearty 27.5 percent of these sales were mediated by a financial institution as a foreclosure or short sale.
Over the last three months, the number of pending sales is still down 10.3 percent compared to 2007, and the number of new listings is down 13.9 percent for the same time period. The total number of homes for sale is 700 units behind this time last year—a year-over-year fall of 2.0 percent, a gap which should only widen as sellers continue to cut back on new listings.
For the first time in ten months—and only the second time in the last two years—the number of purchase agreements (pending sales) signed for our most recent weekly activity set was slightly ahead of one year ago. There were 714 purchase agreements signed for the week ending May 17, which is 1.7 percent higher than one year ago. A hearty 27.5 percent of these sales were mediated by a financial institution as a foreclosure or short sale.
Over the last three months, the number of pending sales is still down 10.3 percent compared to 2007, and the number of new listings is down 13.9 percent for the same time period. The total number of homes for sale is 700 units behind this time last year—a year-over-year fall of 2.0 percent, a gap which should only widen as sellers continue to cut back on new listings.
Monday, May 19, 2008
X Marks the Spot
Here's the latest from MAAR:
"X" marks the spot on your typical pirate treasure map, but it can also
be an intrepid signifier of a changing market. This edition of the MAAR
Weekly Market Activity Report shows off a big, bold, red "X" on our
"Last Three Months Inventory for Sale" graph (page 4). The diverging
trend lines are a marked indicator that the supply of homes has been
held at bay relative to recent years for the past several months. For the
week ending May 10, the number of new listings was 15.5 percent
behind last year. With new listings still sluggish, expect this trend to
continue.
Pending sales were down 5.3 percent compared to a year ago. Yes,
weekly pending sales are still battling to surpass last year's numbers,
but we hope to mark an uplifting "X" on our "Last Three Months
Weekly Pending Sales" (page 3) treasure map later this year.
"X" marks the spot on your typical pirate treasure map, but it can also
be an intrepid signifier of a changing market. This edition of the MAAR
Weekly Market Activity Report shows off a big, bold, red "X" on our
"Last Three Months Inventory for Sale" graph (page 4). The diverging
trend lines are a marked indicator that the supply of homes has been
held at bay relative to recent years for the past several months. For the
week ending May 10, the number of new listings was 15.5 percent
behind last year. With new listings still sluggish, expect this trend to
continue.
Pending sales were down 5.3 percent compared to a year ago. Yes,
weekly pending sales are still battling to surpass last year's numbers,
but we hope to mark an uplifting "X" on our "Last Three Months
Weekly Pending Sales" (page 3) treasure map later this year.
Monday, May 12, 2008
Hope Springs Eternal for Twin Cities Real Estate
Here's the latest Weekly Market Report from MAAR:
In Minnesota, warmer weather typically equates to listing increases. But compared to previous years, the run-up to the 2008 summer selling season in the Twin Cities housing market has been meek. The number of new listings for the week ending May 3 was 16.6 percent behind the same time last year—the ninth consecutive week of decline relative to a year ago. Buyer activity is also slower. Over the last three months, pending sales are hovering around a 16 percent year-over-year decline.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several important metrics. As the spring season begins, the Average Days on Market Until Sale decreased to 154 while the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 91.7. The Housing Affordability Index decreased to 151, due to slight seasonal increases in sales price and interest rates. Finally, the Months Supply of Inventory increased to 10.2 months; a 5- to 6-month supply rate is considered indicative of a balanced market.
In Minnesota, warmer weather typically equates to listing increases. But compared to previous years, the run-up to the 2008 summer selling season in the Twin Cities housing market has been meek. The number of new listings for the week ending May 3 was 16.6 percent behind the same time last year—the ninth consecutive week of decline relative to a year ago. Buyer activity is also slower. Over the last three months, pending sales are hovering around a 16 percent year-over-year decline.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several important metrics. As the spring season begins, the Average Days on Market Until Sale decreased to 154 while the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 91.7. The Housing Affordability Index decreased to 151, due to slight seasonal increases in sales price and interest rates. Finally, the Months Supply of Inventory increased to 10.2 months; a 5- to 6-month supply rate is considered indicative of a balanced market.
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
The Housing Crisis Is Over!
It is...according to the Wall Street Journal.
Also, good news for Minneapolis Real Estate Investors: FREE MONEY!
Check it out HERE.
Also, good news for Minneapolis Real Estate Investors: FREE MONEY!
Check it out HERE.
Monday, May 05, 2008
Ring the bell?
Here's the latest from MAAR:
Ring the bell, sound the alarms, shout from the mountaintops: the number of homes for sale in the Twin Cities region as of today is less than the number for sale at this point last year, a new benchmark which marks an encouraging sign that the market is in an early stage of recovery.
This is the first time since MAAR began tracking inventory figures that we have been able to show a year-over-year decline in listing supply. There are currently 32,448 residential properties for sale, a decline of 134 units from this time in 2007. With sellers still holding back on putting their homes on the market (new listings are down 11.4 percent from last year over the last three months), this downward year-over-year trend in inventory should continue into the summer.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features a new figure for our Supply-Demand Ratio of 7.53, which means there are approximately 7.53 homes on the market for each buyer in May— up 12.9 percent from May 2007 when the figure was 6.67.
Ring the bell, sound the alarms, shout from the mountaintops: the number of homes for sale in the Twin Cities region as of today is less than the number for sale at this point last year, a new benchmark which marks an encouraging sign that the market is in an early stage of recovery.
This is the first time since MAAR began tracking inventory figures that we have been able to show a year-over-year decline in listing supply. There are currently 32,448 residential properties for sale, a decline of 134 units from this time in 2007. With sellers still holding back on putting their homes on the market (new listings are down 11.4 percent from last year over the last three months), this downward year-over-year trend in inventory should continue into the summer.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features a new figure for our Supply-Demand Ratio of 7.53, which means there are approximately 7.53 homes on the market for each buyer in May— up 12.9 percent from May 2007 when the figure was 6.67.
Monday, April 28, 2008
King Me!
Here's the latest from MAAR:
For two years, home buyers in the Twin Cities housing market have behaved like medieval kings—looking down upon their vast and glistening kingdom of available homes for sale with a calm and dismissive eye, slowly selecting their properties without hurry or haste. While their reign is not yet over, there are some noticeable cracks in the walls of their castle.
Sellers are not putting homes on the market with anywhere close to the frequency with which they did the last four years. For the week ending April 19, there were only 2,152 new listings, down 19.6 percent from the same week last year. This marks the sixth week in the last seven with a double-digit percentage drop from 2007. The slowdown in buyer activity has also shown signs of abating, as the number of new purchase agreements signed for the week ending April 19 was 893, only 3 units behind the total of 896 seen this week last year. This is the second straight week of relatively flat year-over-year pending sales activity.
However, don't head out and buy that $80,000 Italian sports car you've always wanted just yet. It's important to bear in mind that:
foreclosure and short-sale activity is taking up a larger portion of our overall market activity than it did previously, which has the effect of propping these numbers up a bit, and
we're still 39.8 percent behind our 2005 sales pace at the peak of the boom cycle.
Flattening overall supply (only up 0.4 percent from this time last year) and encouraging trends in sales figures should serve as welcome signs that the market corrections we've experienced in the last two years are taking a turn. Some semblance of order may very well be restored to the "kingdom" in the next year.
For more info CLICK HERE.
Monday, April 21, 2008
Is Twin Cities Real Estate Market is Recovery Mode?
Here's the latest from MAAR
The signs are early and nascent, but there are some promising early indicators that the Twin Cities housing market is beginning to correct and pull back from its two year-beeline in the buyer's favor. While affordability, interest rates and overall supply are still attractive, home sellers are cutting back on new listings substantially in 2008.
For the week ending April 12, there were 2,156 new listings, down a full 20.1 percent from the same week last year. That's the fifth week in the last six that we've seen double-digit percentage drops from 2007 activity. Newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) are still behind last year also, posting a 3.8 percent decline.
While our market still faces a long road ahead to full recovery, the recent reduction in new supply is a positive beacon on the horizon and undoubtedly welcome news for home sellers
More info HERE.
The signs are early and nascent, but there are some promising early indicators that the Twin Cities housing market is beginning to correct and pull back from its two year-beeline in the buyer's favor. While affordability, interest rates and overall supply are still attractive, home sellers are cutting back on new listings substantially in 2008.
For the week ending April 12, there were 2,156 new listings, down a full 20.1 percent from the same week last year. That's the fifth week in the last six that we've seen double-digit percentage drops from 2007 activity. Newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) are still behind last year also, posting a 3.8 percent decline.
While our market still faces a long road ahead to full recovery, the recent reduction in new supply is a positive beacon on the horizon and undoubtedly welcome news for home sellers
More info HERE.
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Weekly Twin Cities Real Estate Market Activity Report
Here's the latest from MAAR:
Spring inventory growth remains staid in the Twin Cities housing market as the annual influx of new properties for sale has not been as rambunctious as the levels seen over the last few springs. The total number of homes for sale in the metro area currently sits at 31,615 up only 3.0 percent from the same time last year—the lowest such year-over-year increase for some years. Home sales remain relatively slow as well, with newly signed purchase agreements (pending sales) from the last three months trailing the same period last year by 16.6 percent.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features an updated Housing Affordability Index (HAI) for April. The HAI fell slightly to 155 due to a seasonal increase in home prices in March but remains a healthy 16.6 percent above where it was two years ago. Softening prices, motivated sellers and a continuation of historically low interest rates have dramatically improved the affordability picture in recent months.
Monday, April 07, 2008
Weekly Twin Cities Real Estate Market Activity Report
Recently I heard two things of interest. The first involves John McCain's proposal to fix the Housing Crisis: require Buyers to have higher down payments. To be honest, I was a bit flabbergasted by this proposal. Why would anyone want to make it even more difficult to get deals done than they already are in this market what with all the tighter lending restrictions and the already staggering market. This type of thing could be the knock out blow to Seller's out there and I, for one, hope ultimately cooler heads will prevail.
The second tidbit was the notion that has been floated around that the 3rd Quarter of this year (July-August-September) may signal the "bottom" of this current market downturn.
So while both of these remain to be seen, it should be a very interesting fall!
Meanwhile...
Here's the latest from MAAR...
The Twin Cities housing market is showing early signs of entering a positive phase of correction. The number of new listings entering the market for the week ending March 29 was 14.8 percent behind the same week last year, the fourth consecutive week of double-digit declines relative to last year. Unfortunately, pending sales remain lackadaisical (down 15.9 percent for the same time period comparison), so the total inventory of homes for sale continues to exhibit decelerating growth this spring season—an encouraging momentum change in our shifting supply-demand balance.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several key metrics. In March, the Days on Market Until Sale held steady at 165 and the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale dipped slightly to 91.0—both indicators of the continued advantage the buyer holds in this market. The April Months Supply of Inventory increased to 9.6 months, up 23.9 percent from this time last year. A market that's balanced between buyers and sellers would have roughly a 5- to 6-month supply of homes for sale. We haven't been there since 2005.
Click here for this week's full report. Visit Market Info for reports as far as the eye can see.
The second tidbit was the notion that has been floated around that the 3rd Quarter of this year (July-August-September) may signal the "bottom" of this current market downturn.
So while both of these remain to be seen, it should be a very interesting fall!
Meanwhile...
Here's the latest from MAAR...
The Twin Cities housing market is showing early signs of entering a positive phase of correction. The number of new listings entering the market for the week ending March 29 was 14.8 percent behind the same week last year, the fourth consecutive week of double-digit declines relative to last year. Unfortunately, pending sales remain lackadaisical (down 15.9 percent for the same time period comparison), so the total inventory of homes for sale continues to exhibit decelerating growth this spring season—an encouraging momentum change in our shifting supply-demand balance.
This week's edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several key metrics. In March, the Days on Market Until Sale held steady at 165 and the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale dipped slightly to 91.0—both indicators of the continued advantage the buyer holds in this market. The April Months Supply of Inventory increased to 9.6 months, up 23.9 percent from this time last year. A market that's balanced between buyers and sellers would have roughly a 5- to 6-month supply of homes for sale. We haven't been there since 2005.
Click here for this week's full report. Visit Market Info for reports as far as the eye can see.
Monday, March 31, 2008
Weekly Twin Cities Real Estate Market Activity Report
A note: my personal schedule has been very hectic over the past few weeks, anecdotal evidence as it may be it nonetheless may serve as an optimistic counterpoint to the consistent (although indisputable) Market Reports I reprint here from the Minneapolis Association of Realtors.
I mention this not only as a way of explaining (apologizing) for my lack of posts and the innovative content you have come to expect from A Realtor you can Relate to but also as a way of of saying to the Sellers: "There will be brighter days ahead."
In the coming days I hope to bring you more content and strategies that Buyers AND Sellers can use to navigate the current market.
Make no mistake, gentle reader, There Will Be More Run-On Sentences!
In the meantime here is
...the latest from MAAR:
Vamoosh! Home sellers in the Twin Cities are continuing their great disappearing act, with new listings on the market in 2008 sitting far below last year's rate. Over the last three months, there have been almost 2,500 fewer listings put on the market than there were a year ago—a drop of 9.5 percent.
Inventory is still more plentiful than ever. Despite the pullback, we still have a record high number of houses on the market for this time of year. So what's the takeaway here? Well, if we look closer, we can see that the inventory gap between now and one year ago is closing, and closing hard. We've gone from being up 12.6 percent from a year ago to only 5.5 percent up in the last 12 weeks.
Gut check: We must keep perspective on the challenging environment that sellers still face, despite the softening competition. The number of signed purchase agreements (pending sales) for the last three months is 17.7 percent behind the same period a year ago. There's fewer of everything.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
